H2N2V1, France, Analysis, bibRecord, 000255

Influenza and the Winter Increase in Mortality in the United States, 1959–1999

Identifieur interne : 000255 ( France/Analysis ); précédent : 000254; suivant : 000256

Influenza and the Winter Increase in Mortality in the United States, 1959–1999

Auteurs : Thomas A. Reichert ; Lone Simonsen ; Ashutosh Sharma ; Scott A. Pardo ; David S. Fedson [France] ; Mark A. Miller

Source :

American Journal of Epidemiology [ 0002-9262 ] ; 2004.

RBID : ISTEX:C9D4F0E3FA4E7349EC89B94C59045FE7FD3B2B11

Descripteurs français

KwdFr :
- Certificats de décès, Diabète (mortalité), Grippe humaine (mortalité), Grippe humaine (épidémiologie), Humains, Ischémie myocardique (mortalité), Maladies cardiovasculaires (mortalité), Méthodes épidémiologiques, Saisons, Sujet âgé, États-Unis d'Amérique (épidémiologie).
MESH :
- mortalité : Diabète, Grippe humaine, Ischémie myocardique, Maladies cardiovasculaires.
- épidémiologie : Grippe humaine, États-Unis d'Amérique.
- Certificats de décès, Humains, Méthodes épidémiologiques, Saisons, Sujet âgé.
Pascal (Inist)
- 1999, Augmentation, Classe âge, Epidémiologie, Etats Unis, Grippe, Hiver, Homme, Infection, Mortalité, Saison, Voie respiratoire.
Wicri :
- geographic : États-Unis.
- topic : Homme, Mortalité.

English descriptors

KwdEn :
- 1999, Age distribution, Aged, Cardiovascular Diseases (mortality), Death Certificates, Diabetes Mellitus (mortality), Epidemiologic Methods, Epidemiology, Human, Humans, Increase, Infection, Influenza, Influenza, Human (epidemiology), Influenza, Human (mortality), Mortality, Myocardial Ischemia (mortality), Respiratory tract, Season, Seasons, United States, United States (epidemiology), Winter.
MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : United States.
- epidemiology : Influenza, Human.
- mortality : Cardiovascular Diseases, Diabetes Mellitus, Influenza, Human, Myocardial Ischemia.
- Aged, Death Certificates, Epidemiologic Methods, Humans, Seasons.

Abstract

In economically developed countries, mortality increases distinctly during winter. Many causes have been suggested, including light-dark cycles, temperature/weather, and infectious agents. The authors analyzed monthly mortality in the United States during the period 1959–1999 for four major disease classes. The authors isolated the seasonal component of mortality by removing trends and standardizing the time series. They evaluated four properties: coincidence in mortality peaks, autocorrelation structure and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models, magnitude, and age distribution. Peak months of mortality for ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and diabetes mellitus coincided appropriately with peaks in pneumonia and influenza, and coefficients of autocorrelation and ARIMA models were essentially indistinguishable. The magnitude of the seasonal component was highly correlated with traditional measures of excess mortality and was significantly larger in seasons dominated by influenza A(H2N2) and A(H3N2) viruses than in seasons dominated by A(H1N1) or B viruses. There was an age shift in mortality during and after the 1968/69 pandemic in each disease class, with features specific to influenza A(H3N2). These findings suggest that the cause of the winter increase in US mortality is singular and probably influenza. Weather and other factors may determine the timing and modulate the magnitude of the winter-season increase in mortality, but the primary determinant appears to be the influenza virus.

Url:

https://api.istex.fr/ark:/67375/HXZ-D0KX4CZK-G/fulltext.pdf

DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwh227

Affiliations:

France

Links to Exploration step

ISTEX:C9D4F0E3FA4E7349EC89B94C59045FE7FD3B2B11

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<term>Diabetes Mellitus (mortality)</term>
<term>Epidemiologic Methods</term>
<term>Epidemiology</term>
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<term>Influenza, Human (epidemiology)</term>
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<term>Mortality</term>
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<term>United States (epidemiology)</term>
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">In economically developed countries, mortality increases distinctly during winter. Many causes have been suggested, including light-dark cycles, temperature/weather, and infectious agents. The authors analyzed monthly mortality in the United States during the period 1959–1999 for four major disease classes. The authors isolated the seasonal component of mortality by removing trends and standardizing the time series. They evaluated four properties: coincidence in mortality peaks, autocorrelation structure and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models, magnitude, and age distribution. Peak months of mortality for ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and diabetes mellitus coincided appropriately with peaks in pneumonia and influenza, and coefficients of autocorrelation and ARIMA models were essentially indistinguishable. The magnitude of the seasonal component was highly correlated with traditional measures of excess mortality and was significantly larger in seasons dominated by influenza A(H2N2) and A(H3N2) viruses than in seasons dominated by A(H1N1) or B viruses. There was an age shift in mortality during and after the 1968/69 pandemic in each disease class, with features specific to influenza A(H3N2). These findings suggest that the cause of the winter increase in US mortality is singular and probably influenza. Weather and other factors may determine the timing and modulate the magnitude of the winter-season increase in mortality, but the primary determinant appears to be the influenza virus.</div>
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Influenza and the Winter Increase in Mortality in the United States, 1959–1999

Influenza and the Winter Increase in Mortality in the United States, 1959–1999

Source :

Descripteurs français

English descriptors

Abstract

Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)

Links to Exploration step

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